I’m Back

Hi Everyone,

My blog is back after a hiatus resulting from a broken laptop (coffee splash, really) and some surgery (on both me and the laptop).

On Sunday I stood in the Daniel Webster College gymnasium in Nashua, New Hampshire talking with a reporter from Yomiuri Shimbun, the Tokyo newspaper that is the Japanese equivalent of the New York Times and USA Today rolled into one. We were surrounded by hundreds of supporters of Wesley Clark. They sat on folding chairs and jammed the bleachers, holding up signs like “Combat Vets for Clark,” “Albanian-Americans for Clark,” “Teachers for Clark” and others reflecting additional subcategories of mostly (but not all) Democrats. The Japanese reporter said he was bewildered by the scene. He couldn’t believe, he said, that all these people had left their homes on a bitterly cold Sunday afternoon to hear Wes Clark speak. In fact, several hundred people couldn’t get in. The day before, at the beautiful old Music Hall auditorium in Portsmouth, it was the same story. The orchestra and balcony were overflowing. The hall’s capacity was 950 people, and again, many had to be turned away. More than a hundred stood on the stairways outside of the auditorium, hoping to sneak a look at the rally. Clark paused on the steps going in and promised he would come out and chat with the crowd after his speech.

I hope that the Yomiuri Shimbun reporter does a better job of describing scenes like that than have his colleagues in the US media (although even if he does, I guess the Tokyo readership won’t help Wes Clark). For the mainstream media, the facts on the ground matter less than the Kerry momentum/Clark slipping story line. Here’s how Tom Curry of MSNBC characterizes Wesley Clark on the campaign trail: “Retired Gen. Wesley Clark, although drawing respectful crowds in New Hampshire, has spent the final days of the New Hampshire campaign reasserting his credentials as a Democrat.” On NPR’s All Things Considered last night, a reporter described a straggling group of 50 at a Clark campaign stop, leaving the impression that it was a typical Clark crowd.

So we have the spectacle of the news media covering their rear ends by cautioning that the New Hampshire polls are notoriously inaccurate and that the electorate is volatile. Despite the repeated admonitions, most of the media goes right ahead and allows their reportorial agendas to be dictated by the polls rather than their own observations and instincts on the ground. Then, of course, the media pack’s predictions can become self-fulfilling prophecies. Oh, I’m going crazy…

I mentioned veterans holding up signs at the Clark rallies. This is another story being underplayed by the media. Vets are trooping to Clark and Kerry rallies. They’re angry at Bush. I talked with one vet, a tall and burly young man with neatly trimmed hair and a booming voice. He’s volunteering for Clark. The vet told me that when he was a kid, his mother taught him that people who are big and strong have a special obligation to help those who are weaker and that he must never be a bully. Bush, he said, doesn’t understand that principle. This vet was also very angry about the coffins coming back from Iraq being blocked from public view by the administration, by Bush’s actions on veterans’ benefits, and of course, by Bush dressing up in the flight suit. I asked him about the Michael Moore comment that Bush was a “deserter.” The vet said Moore was right. If Clark or Kerry are nominated, the veterans’ vote will play a significant role in the campaign.

A couple of other notes on New Hampshire… I introduced my 7 year-old son, Daniel, to General Clark as he made his way through the crowd at the end of the rally. Clark bent down, shooked Daniel’s hand and said, “Hey Daniel - thanks for wearing my buttons, my man!” Clark has great personal appeal when you see him on the stump. Again, you wouldn’t know it from the Washington pundits, who focus almost entirely on Clark’s “rookie mistakes,” etc.

I met an interesting guy who works for Harvard University. He was a Rhodes scholar and was at Oxford for three years. During that time, Wes Clark, Bill Clinton and Bill Bradley all attended Oxford. Being in the “anti-war camp” at Oxford, he said he didn’t know Clark well. Thirty years later, he’s volunteering for the Clark campaign.

On Saturday night, I went with good friends from Andover, MA to a fantastic lobster shack in Seabrook, New Hampshire. It’s one of those places where you pick out a lobster from a tank, say goodbye to it, and shortly thereafter consume it. An Englishman, the brother and brother-in-law of my friends, was visiting from London and joined us to taste this tidbit of Americana. Peter got a taste of more than just lobster. Glancing at a wall of photos, he noticed pictures of George W. Bush’s campaign stop at the restaurant in 2000. Peter pointed out to the proprietor that I was wearing a Clark button. The lobster guy said, “Well, I guess they have to eat somewhere.”

One Response to “I’m Back”

  1. Robert Harris Says:

    Hi Grant

    Glad you got a chance to go to New Hampshire. Enjoyed your report…particularly as it relates to media coverage.

    The non-stop cable news coverage is becoming increasingly irrelevant. They are covering this thing like a sporting event….analyzing and over analyzing and looking for the next angle or hook.
    A month ago they had annointed Dean the Democratic Party nominee. Then he crashes in Iowa…now he is the comeback kid in New Hampshire…as opposed to John Kerry who was the comeback kid in Iowa.
    We are way too early in the game to declare a front runner…let alone a winner. Now Kerry is getting all the press as the “clear front runner” after getting 39% in a state that gets most of its news from the Boston media…a state where Kerry has been a known quantity for 16 years.

    The Democratic Party Presidential nomination is wide open and will be for some time to come. However, the field must sort itself out before money becomes the big issue in the big dollar states.

    For what its worth, my take on the results so far:

    The anybody-but-Dean voters went for Kerry and Edwards in Iowa. Edwards will do better in the South…Kerry will begin to slide back into 2nd or 3rd place in the South and Midwest. Clark and Edwards will take votes away from Kerry in the next few primaries. Dean is done…he will get votes…but had his best chance to win in New Hampshire and Iowa. He will hang in..but will be the Eugene McCarthy of 2004.

    Lieberman will actually outperform Dean in some of the industrial states with centrist, old line, labor and minority voters having more impact. I don’t think he will garner enough support to win…but he will show a little better in NY, Michigan, Illinois, etc.

    Its going to come down to Clark, Kerry and Edwards. Interesting research out of NH showed that voters there thought the candidates with the best chance of beating Bush were Kerry and Clark in that order. Clark needs to target Kerry…portray himself as an outsider, a populist with new ideas and bold approaches not tainted by the years in the Washington establishment. Clinton, Carter, Reagan, G W Bush…all came to the White House from the State House….George H.W. Bush served two terms in the House two decades before he became President and Gerald Ford…well we know how he got to be President. So Senators have a dismal record in recent years in making it to the White House.

    I put Clark in the “Governor” category…no Washington baggage, no lobbyists in his closet. He needs to appear statesmanlike. He needs to show some style and some humor. He needs to cast Kerry as a Washington insider and elitist and to cast Edwards as a nice young man with good ideas who is not yet ready to go head to head with world leaders.

    Clark cannot keep telling everyone what a good candidate he is. He has to have some message of hope and some plan for the future. He is the right man for the job, but he should not keep acting like he is applying for the job. Yes, his resume is important, but more important is his vision, his leadership abilities (shown, not talked about) and his connection with and concern for regular folks.

    Clark needs a media campaign in which people who know him and like him speak up and convince the undecided that Wes Clark is indeed the right man at the right time. He is the guy who can replace Bush without dividing the country or weakening our defenses. He is the guy who can restore the World’s respect for us as a bastion of democracy, a beacon to the world…not a bully running roughshod over third rate countries with phantom arsenals.

    Clark is a little stiff. He lacks the slick responses that come from years dealing with the press and working the rubber chicken circuit. He can turn this to advantage though by making these minor flaws a virtue. He’s not a slick, packaged Madison Avenue political candidate. He’s a sincere, committed guy with a vision. He’s Jesse Ventura with brains. He’s the real hero who has come to our rescue, not the Hollywood version who won in California. He is John McCain –Democrat. He is the sane Ross Perot.

    It’s a long time before the fat lady sings. Clark can do it if he can emerge from the pack and sharpen his image and his message. The lemmings in the media are begging for it. By Thursday the Kerry story will be old hat. By next Wednesday, they will be spinning off in a whole new direction. The next batch of headlines are going to be Clark/Edwards…Edwards/Clark. How long that will last is up to Wesley Clark